Understand what a Forex Trend is
It is very important for you as a currency trader to identify and understand a trend in forex because they tend to be vicious and one way. FX trends routinely wipe out speculators like us who commit the trading sin of trend fading.
FX trends start slowly and are the unintended consequences of another action in the global capital markets. For example, a booming stock market may lead to a massive forex trend in its wake.
Similarly, a global recession may force investors to take refuge in save haven currencies like dollar in their flight towards safety. Likewise, decrease in interest rates will force carry traders to become risk averse.
So you will have to keep one eye on the global macro situation developing to look in which direction smart money is going to flow. Most of the trends in forex markets are fundamentally driven by the direction of smart money flow.
The longer the trend is going to be, the longer the correction and the consolidation will be. In other words, fundamentally driven trends do not take sudden U-turns.
But mostly when the retail investors realize that a trend has developed, it is always too late for them. Professional traders, institutional investors and hedge fund have long been in the trade and are ready to dump their positions on the retail crowd.
As they say, a Newsweek cover is a kiss of death for a trend. Situations like these are important for an individual investor to understand.
Remember trend is your friend. Trend trading is one of the most popular trading strategies employed by professional traders including hedge funds.
The best strategy is to take a position in the direction of the trend. You can easily identify a trend in currency markets using multiple time frame analysis involving moving averages.
Once you have identified the trend, use Fibonacci retracement levels to enter and exit the position. Always put stop losses. If you successfully make a trade, you can make many pips in a few days.